Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 23 2013

Merkel wins German election, arduous coalition talks ahead...

Asian traders bought up the Euro through interbank trading, following early evidence of what later was confirmed as the best result for Merkel's conservative party in a general election since 1990, with the Chancellor receiving around 42% of all votes to keep her post as one of the most powerful women on the globe for a third term. Despite the early enthusiasm, the excitement faded pretty quick, with traders deciding to be sidelined as Merkel still faces a tough road ahead, now having to engage on coalition negotiation to form a government - a process which may take weeks if not months - after Mekel's CDU fell very short from claiming an absolute majority.

As the quiet Asian session advanced, and with the Tokyo market closed due to public holidays, the only relevant headline to outline was the Chinese HSBC PMI, which came at a 6-month high, supporting the Australian Dollar across the board. On the commodity arena, metals were hammered yet again, following Fed's Bullard comments on Friday, which triggered the 'taper trade' again, after saying that the October FOMC meeting was still 'live' in terms of tapering.-FXstreet.com
http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-09-23 07:28 GMT | DE Markit Services PMI (Sep)
2013-09-23 07:58 GMT | EMU Markit Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
2013-09-23 12:58 GMT | US Markit Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
2013-09-23 13:00 GMT | ECB President Draghi's Speech

FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-23 05:18 GMT | EUR/USD still indecisive just above flat line; 1.3534 is the level to conquer for the bulls
2013-09-23 05:02 GMT | GBP/JPY upwards amidst of a Tokyo-holiday session
2013-09-23 04:33 GMT | USD/CHF finishes “abc” upside correction at 0.9122; headed lower
2013-09-23 03:56 GMT | USD/JPY bracing for takeoff?

----------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.35459 LOW 1.35202 BID 1.35293 ASK 1.35297 CHANGE 0.02% TIME 08 : 40:09



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Technically, next resistive structure lies at 1.3549 (R1). Break here is required to initiate upwards action towards to next target at 1.3583 (R2) and then final aim could be exposed at 1.3618 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, current range pattern on the hourly chart suggest possible retest of our supportive measure at 1.3507 (S1). Break here is required to open way towards to initial targets at 1.3474 (S2) and 1.3440 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3549, 1.3583, 1.3618
Support Levels: 1.3507, 1.3474, 1.3440

--------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.60314 LOW 1.59929 BID 1.60220 ASK 1.60224 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08 : 40:10



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: On the upside resistive structure at 1.6044 (R1) prevents possible gains. Clearance here is required to open route towards to next target at 1.6075 (R2) and then final target could be triggered at 1.6106 (R3). Downwards scenario: Local low offers a key support level on the downside. A dip below the 1.5987 (S1) would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5956 (S2) and potentially 1.5925 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6044, 1.6075, 1.6106
Support Levels: 1.5987, 1.5956, 1.5925

------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 99.359 LOW 99.084 BID 99.117 ASK 99.119 CHANGE -0.2% TIME 08 : 40:11



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Any upside actions looks limited now to resistive measure at 99.36 (R1). Break here is required to enable uptrend formation towards to higher target at 99.55 (R2). Final aim for today locates at 99.74 (R3). Downwards scenario: Fresh low formed today offers an important resistive measure at 99.04 (S1). Break here is required to drive market price towards to next visible targets at 98.86 (S2) and 98.69 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 99.36, 99.55, 99.74
Support Levels: 99.04, 98.86, 98.69

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 24 2013

A tale of three central banks

Two European central bank presidents spoke on Monday concerning their overall relative responsibilities. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said he’s prepared to release another long-term refinancing operation in order to provide funds to Europe’s banking system if and when needed. Unlike previous times after Mr Draghi has held court, the market reaction this time was muted. The Swiss franc is still highly valued and the central bank’s currency ceiling remains essential for safeguarding the economy, according to Swiss National Bank President Thomas Jordan in his statement on Monday. Therefore the loose peg, in relation to the value of the Swiss franc versus the euro, at circa 120, will remain in force until conditions change. The U.S. currency fell versus the majority of its sixteen major peers as a consequence of the Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart and others stating that Fed policy should focus on creating a more dynamic economy. Lockhart has continually backed the Fed’s $85 billion in monthly bond purchases that were retained last week.
http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis


FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-09-24 08:00 GMT | DE IFO - Business Climate (Sep)
2013-09-24 12:30 GMT | CA Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)
2013-09-24 14:00 GMT | US Consumer Confidence (Sep)
2013-09-24 22:45 GMT | NZ Trade Balance (YoY) (Aug)

FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-24 05:16 GMT | EUR/USD churning above support of 1.3476 ahead of German data
2013-09-24 05:01 GMT | EUR/GBP struggles to maintain the 0.8400 support
2013-09-24 04:42 GMT | GBP/USD off slightly Tuesday after brief rally Monday; key support 1.5894
2013-09-24 03:59 GMT | USD/JPY pulling back away from 99.52 resistance as Yen sees safety inflows


--------------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.34985 LOW 1.3489 BID 1.34953 ASK 1.34955 CHANGE 0.02% TIME 08 : 47:25



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Appreciation above the resistance at 1.3517 (R1) might commence new step of the ascending structure. Our intraday targets today are placed at 1.3538 (R2) and 1.3560 (R3). Downwards scenario: Any downside fluctuations remains for now limited to the next support level at 1.3478 (S1), only clear break here would be a signal of further market easing towards to next targets at 1.3458 (S2) and 1.3437 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.3517, 1.3538, 1.3560
Support Levels: 1.3478, 1.3458, 1.3437

---------------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.60443 LOW 1.60252 BID 1.60256 ASK 1.60261 CHANGE -0.1% TIME 08 : 47:26



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Market price penetrated below the moving averages and likely close at the negative side today. Our next resistive measure lies at 1.6054 (R1), break here is required to achieve higher targets at 1.6083 (R2) and 1.6109 (R3). Downwards scenario: Possible market weakening is protected by important technical level at 1.6016 (S1). Break here is required to open road towards to interim target at 1.5989 (S2) en route to final aim at 1.5962 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6054, 1.6083, 1.6109
Support Levels: 1.6016, 1.5989, 1.5962

-------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 98.93 LOW 98.662 BID 98.921 ASK 98.923 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08 : 47:27



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: We expect possible upwards penetration. Break above the resistance at 98.93 (R1) would clear the way towards to higher target at 99.10 (R2). Further price appreciation would face then final resistive measure at 99.27 (R3) Downwards scenario: Our next support level locates at 98.63 (S1) mark. Possible penetration below this level would open way towards to next target at 98.47 (S2) and then final aim lie at 98.31 (S3) price level.

Resistance Levels: 98.93, 99.10, 99.27
Support Levels: 98.63, 98.47, 98.31

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 25 2013

Aussie, kiwi heavy; Tokyo stained with red

Asian traders were rather inactive at the early going of Tokyo, with some Yen strength the main theme, yet as the session advanced, Aussie weakness also became dominant. In the US, following an uncertain and uneven Wall Street session after Fed’s comments on indefinite timing for bond-buying program, Asia registered mixed results in equity indexes with the Nikkei down 0.39%, pushing the yen higher. In New Zealand, the trade deficit expanded from $-771M to $-1191M beating estimates, for the worse, at $-743M. In Australia, the RBA said the banking system is liquid and in good shape and added the housing market data is strong and yet the Aussie remained heavy with slow progress upward.

Japan prepared for the tankan results next week and market participants remain on their feet to any governmental decision to increase the sales taxes as Prime Minister Abe announce a potential increase based on tankan results despite the Spring 2014 plans to proceed with the monetary policies. In the futures contracts realm, all metals printed gains with notably copper advancing on positive Chinese consumer data along with gold registering gains worth 0.66% for the first time in the week to reach $1,325.00.
http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-09-25 06:00 GMT | DE Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey (Oct)
2013-09-25 10:00 GMT | UK CBI Distributive Trades Survey - Realized (MoM) (Sep)
2013-09-25 12:30 GMT | US Durable Goods Orders (Aug)
2013-09-25 14:00 GMT | US New Home Sales (MoM) (Aug)

FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-25 05:05 GMT | EUR/USD threatening Tuesday low of 1.3463 ahead of Europe open
2013-09-25 04:47 GMT | USD/JPY has downside risks in coming months - JPMorgan
2013-09-25 04:24 GMT | AUD/USD is falling as “debt-ceiling” issue looms out
2013-09-25 03:36 GMT | Gold rallies off Tuesday low at 1305.50, but runs into wall at 1326.80

-------------------
EURUSD
HIGH 1.34809 LOW 1.34619 BID 1.34719 ASK 1.34722 CHANGE -0.01% TIME 08 : 47:09



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Next resistive barrier locates at 1.3497 (R1). Violation here is required to provide a signal of further market strengthening. In such case, resistances at 1.3520 (R2) and 1.3542 (R3) acts as next attractive points for the bullish oriented traders. Downwards scenario: Further correction development might face next hurdle at 1.3458 (S1). Break here is required to open road towards to our next interim target at 1.3437 (S2), en route to final aim at 1.3415 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3497, 1.3520, 1.3542
Support Levels: 1.3458, 1.3437, 1.3415

-------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.60039 LOW 1.59794 BID 1.59904 ASK 1.59911 CHANGE -0.07% TIME 08 : 47:09



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: A violation of next resistance at 1.6021 (R1) might call for a run towards to next target at 1.6060 (R2) and any further appreciation would then be limited to final target at 1.6097 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the 20 SMA our technical outlook would be negative. Extension lower the key support level at 1.5954 (S1) is being able to drive market price towards to our next targets at 1.5912 (S2) and 1.5870 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6021, 1.6060, 1.6097
Support Levels: 1.5954, 1.5912, 1.5870

-----------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 98.798 LOW 98.557 BID 98.680 ASK 98.682 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08 : 47:10



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Neutral tone remains favored on the hourly chart frame, however possible extension above the resistive measure at 98.92 (R1) would suggest next intraday targets at 99.07 (R2) and 99.21 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, new phase of downtrend formation might commence below the important support level at 98.56 (S1). Break here is required to validate our targets at 98.41 (S2) and 98.26 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 98.92, 99.07, 99.21
Support Levels: 98.56, 98.41, 98.26

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 25 2013

Aussie, kiwi heavy; Tokyo stained with red

Asian traders were rather inactive at the early going of Tokyo, with some Yen strength the main theme, yet as the session advanced, Aussie weakness also became dominant. In the US, following an uncertain and uneven Wall Street session after Fed’s comments on indefinite timing for bond-buying program, Asia registered mixed results in equity indexes with the Nikkei down 0.39%, pushing the yen higher. In New Zealand, the trade deficit expanded from $-771M to $-1191M beating estimates, for the worse, at $-743M. In Australia, the RBA said the banking system is liquid and in good shape and added the housing market data is strong and yet the Aussie remained heavy with slow progress upward.

Japan prepared for the tankan results next week and market participants remain on their feet to any governmental decision to increase the sales taxes as Prime Minister Abe announce a potential increase based on tankan results despite the Spring 2014 plans to proceed with the monetary policies. In the futures contracts realm, all metals printed gains with notably copper advancing on positive Chinese consumer data along with gold registering gains worth 0.66% for the first time in the week to reach $1,325.00.
http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-09-25 06:00 GMT | DE Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey (Oct)
2013-09-25 10:00 GMT | UK CBI Distributive Trades Survey - Realized (MoM) (Sep)
2013-09-25 12:30 GMT | US Durable Goods Orders (Aug)
2013-09-25 14:00 GMT | US New Home Sales (MoM) (Aug)

FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-25 05:05 GMT | EUR/USD threatening Tuesday low of 1.3463 ahead of Europe open
2013-09-25 04:47 GMT | USD/JPY has downside risks in coming months - JPMorgan
2013-09-25 04:24 GMT | AUD/USD is falling as “debt-ceiling” issue looms out
2013-09-25 03:36 GMT | Gold rallies off Tuesday low at 1305.50, but runs into wall at 1326.80

-------------------
EURUSD
HIGH 1.34809 LOW 1.34619 BID 1.34719 ASK 1.34722 CHANGE -0.01% TIME 08 : 47:09



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Next resistive barrier locates at 1.3497 (R1). Violation here is required to provide a signal of further market strengthening. In such case, resistances at 1.3520 (R2) and 1.3542 (R3) acts as next attractive points for the bullish oriented traders. Downwards scenario: Further correction development might face next hurdle at 1.3458 (S1). Break here is required to open road towards to our next interim target at 1.3437 (S2), en route to final aim at 1.3415 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3497, 1.3520, 1.3542
Support Levels: 1.3458, 1.3437, 1.3415

-------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.60039 LOW 1.59794 BID 1.59904 ASK 1.59911 CHANGE -0.07% TIME 08 : 47:09



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: A violation of next resistance at 1.6021 (R1) might call for a run towards to next target at 1.6060 (R2) and any further appreciation would then be limited to final target at 1.6097 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the 20 SMA our technical outlook would be negative. Extension lower the key support level at 1.5954 (S1) is being able to drive market price towards to our next targets at 1.5912 (S2) and 1.5870 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6021, 1.6060, 1.6097
Support Levels: 1.5954, 1.5912, 1.5870

-----------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 98.798 LOW 98.557 BID 98.680 ASK 98.682 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08 : 47:10



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Neutral tone remains favored on the hourly chart frame, however possible extension above the resistive measure at 98.92 (R1) would suggest next intraday targets at 99.07 (R2) and 99.21 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, new phase of downtrend formation might commence below the important support level at 98.56 (S1). Break here is required to validate our targets at 98.41 (S2) and 98.26 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 98.92, 99.07, 99.21
Support Levels: 98.56, 98.41, 98.26

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Oct 02 2013

Ben Bernanke may delay taper if shut down impasse continues

The Swiss franc appears to have become the safe haven currency of choice during the USA partial govt. shutdown. The Swiss franc rose to its highest level versus the dollar in nineteen months as a partial shutdown of the U.S. government increased demand for Switzerland’s currency as a safe haven currency. The franc is typically sought by investors seeking safety at times of heightened global stress and it climbed versus all but two of its 16 major currency peers during Tuesday's trading sessions. Versus the USD it strengthened through 90 cents per dollar for the first time since Feb. 29, 2012. The Swiss currency rose 0.3 percent to 90.23 centimes per dollar at 10:50 a.m. in Zurich, after rising to as much as 89.93 centimes. Versus the euro it was little changed at 1.2225. The dollar traded at close to its lowest level seen since February as the partial shutdown of the U.S. government increased speculation that the Federal Reserve will persevere with its asset purchases, therefore weakening the currency. The U.S. currency was little changed at $1.3526 per euro after depreciating to $1.3588, the weakest level seen since Feb 6th. The yen gained by 0.3 percent to 98 per dollar and climbed 0.3 percent to 132.55 per euro.

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-10-02 11:45 GMT | ECB Interest Rate Decision
2013-10-02 12:30 GMT | ECB Monetary policy statement and press conference
2013-10-02 19:30 GMT | US Fed's Bernanke Speech
2013-10-02 23:50 GMT | JP Foreign investment in Japan stocks

FOREX NEWS :
2013-10-02 04:48 GMT | EUR/USD sitting on the fence ahead of ECB
2013-10-02 04:11 GMT | GBP/AUD soars on dismal AUD data
2013-10-02 03:46 GMT | RBA next rate cut delayed till February - NAB
2013-10-02 03:12 GMT | Japan’s the black sheep among winning indexes in Asia


EURUSD :
HIGH 1.35282 LOW 1.35074 BID 1.35240 ASK 1.35244 CHANGE -0.01% TIME 08 : 32:56



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Fractals level at 1.3536 (R1) offers a key resistive measure on the upside. Break here is required to enable bullish pressure and validate next target at 1.3551 (R2). Final support for today locates at 1.3566 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the next resistance level our technical outlook would be negative. Next on tap is support level at 1.3506 (S1). Penetration below this mark would suggest next targets at 1.3491 (S2) and 1.3475 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3536, 1.3551, 1.3566
Support Levels: 1.3506, 1.3491, 1.3475

----------------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.62001 LOW 1.61625 BID 1.61790 ASK 1.61795 CHANGE -0.1% TIME 08 : 32:57



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

Upwards scenario: Possible upwards extension above the resistance level at 1.6210 (R1) is liable to commence medium-term bullish structure. Important fractal levels offers next targets at 1.6238 (R2) and 1.6265 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Risk of further correction expansion is seen below the support barrier at 1.6158 (S1). Break here is required to enable our intraday targets at 1.6130 (S2) and 1.6103 (S3) on the downside.

Resistance Levels: 1.6210, 1.6238, 1.6265
Support Levels: 1.6158, 1.6130, 1.6103

----------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 98.085 LOW 97.639 BID 97.648 ASK 97.651 CHANGE -0.37% TIME 08 : 32:57



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

Upwards scenario: Fresh portion of the economic data releases might increase volatility later on today. Clearance of our next resistive barrier at 98.09 (R1) is required to push the price towards to our next visible targets at 98.33 (R2) and 98.56 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the moving averages our short-term outlook would be negative. Possible extension lower the 97.50 (S1) is being able to drive market price towards to initial supports at 97.25 (S2) and 97.01 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 98.09, 98.33, 98.56
Support Levels: 97.50, 97.25, 97.01

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Oct 03 2013

EUR/USD explodes to 1.3624, 8-month peaks

The European Central Bank President Mario Draghi stated on Wednesday that he’ll take any necessary measures to keep the money-market rates in check as he guides Europe’s banks through their early stages of the economic recovery. Draghi stated; “We’ll remain particularly attentive to developments which may have implications to monetary policy and consider all available instruments. We have a vast array of instruments to this extent and we exclude no option in order to address the needs as is most appropriate.” The euro advanced 0.4 percent to $1.3586 late in the New York session, reaching the biggest one-day gain since Sept 18th. The 17 nation shared single currency was 0.2 percent weaker at 132.28 yen after falling as much as 0.9 percent. The yen strengthened 0.6 percent to 97.39 per dollar. The euro strengthened the most in two weeks versus the dollar after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi refrained from signaling that additional measures were needed to boost the region’s recovery.
Market Analysis | FXCC Blog

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-10-03 07:53 GMT | DE Markit Services PMI (Sep)
2013-10-03 07:58 GMT | EMU Markit Services PMI (Sep)
2013-10-03 09:00 GMT | EMU Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug)
N/A | US Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 27)

FOREX NEWS :
2013-10-03 05:36 GMT | EUR/GBP slightly upwards ahead of crucial UK,EZ data
2013-10-03 05:06 GMT | GBP/USD sits on the fence ahead of UK PMI Services data
2013-10-03 02:16 GMT | EUR/USD triggers stops 1.36+, JPY on the slide
2013-10-03 02:00 GMT | USD/JPY retracing from 97.70 session highs

-----------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.36232 LOW 1.35775 BID 1.36065 ASK 1.36069 CHANGE 0.22% TIME 08 : 39:59



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Current price setup might suggest uptrend development in near term perspective. If the price manages to surpass our resistive measure at 1.3623 (R1), we would suggest next targets at 1.3644 (R2) and 1.3665 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other side, a dip lower the key support measure at 1.3575 (S1) would open a route towards to lower targets at 1.3555 (S2) and 1.3535 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3623, 1.3644, 1.3665
Support Levels: 1.3575, 1.3555, 1.3535

------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.62409 LOW 1.62206 BID 1.62329 ASK 1.62335 CHANGE 0.07% TIME 08 : 39:59



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: A bullish oriented market participant might pressures to test our next resistance level at 1.6261 (R1). Loss here could open a route towards to our interim target at 1.6292 (R2) and the main aim for today locates at 1.6323 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of possible price regress is seen below the support level at 1.6202 (S1). Break here would suggest lower targets at 1.6170 (S2) and 1.6139 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.6261, 1.6292, 1.6323
Support Levels: 1.6202, 1.6170, 1.6139

-------------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 97.784 LOW 97.251 BID 97.700 ASK 97.702 CHANGE 0.36% TIME 08 : 40:00



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Market commenced recovery phase from the initial downtrend formation. Clearance of our next resistive barrier at 98.05 (R1) would suggest next intraday targets at 98.32 (R2) and 98.59 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Further downside extension might face next supportive barrier at 97.53 (S1). Clearance here is required to open the way towards to interim target at 97.25 (S2) and any further price regress would then be targeting 96.98 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 98.05, 98.32, 98.59
Support Levels: 97.53, 97.25, 96.98

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Oct 07 2013

Yen rises versus major peers early in the Asian session

There were no significant breaks or gaps to the upside or downside as the FX markets opened on Sunday evening. Yen made a modest rise versus the majority of its peers, but at the time of writing had failed to penetrate the significant resistance or support levels. The dollar fell for a fifth week last week, the longest stretch the greenback has experienced such a fall since April 2011, due to Congress failing to agree on a route forward to raise the $16.7 trillion U.S. debt limit, encouraging investors to seek other safe haven assets. The U.S. Dollar Index, tracking the greenback versus its 10 major peer currencies, declined by 0.3 percent last week, (the most in two weeks), to 1,009.98 in New York at the close on Friday. The dollar fell 0.8 percent to 97.48 yen, the third weekly drop. It touched 96.93, the lowest since Aug. 28th. The U.S. currency weakened by 0.3 percent to $1.3558 per euro. The yen strengthened 0.5 percent to 132.14 per euro. Sterling fell by the most last week in the dollar’s 16 most-traded peers, after reaching a nine-month high, the sell off was due to speculation that the U.K. economic recovery isn’t strong enough to warrant the early interest-rate increase the BoE governor Mark Carney had mentioned in earlier press conferences.
http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-10-07 08:30 GMT | EMU Sentix Investor Confidence (Oct)
2013-10-07 12:30 GMT | CA Building Permits (MoM) (Aug)
2013-10-07 19:00 GMT | US Consumer Credit Change (Aug)
2013-10-07 23:50 GMT | Trade Balance - BOP Basis (Aug)

FOREX NEWS :
2013-10-07 05:18 GMT | Asian bourses fall sharply due to US political “jitters”
2013-10-07 04:49 GMT | AUD/USD trading in the upper level ignoring US political “woes”
2013-10-07 03:49 GMT | USD a tad weaker as US shutdown set to extend
2013-10-07 02:37 GMT | EURUSD - Uptrend intact but latest pullbacks raises some concerns - 2ndSkies

----------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.35742 LOW 1.35609 BID 1.35680 ASK 1.35685 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08 : 45:02



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Next barrier on the upside lies at 1.3579 (R1). Surpassing of this level might enable our initial target at 1.3594 (R2) and any further gains would then be limited to last resistive structure at 1.3609 (R3). Downwards scenario: Positive clearance of our key support level at 1.3538 (S1) would enable next target at 1.3523 (S2) en route to our final support for today at 1.3508 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3579, 1.3594, 1.3609
Support Levels: 1.3538, 1.3523, 1.3508

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GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.60483 LOW 1.60153 BID 1.60325 ASK 1.60329 CHANGE 0.17% TIME 08 : 45:03



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Our next resistance level is placed at 1.6050 (R1). Break here would open route towards to higher target at 1.6068 (R2) and any further price advance would then be limited to 1.6086 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish corrective structure might lead to further downtrend evolvement later on today. Penetration below the support at 1.6005 (S1) would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5987 (S2) and 1.5970 (S3) in perspective.

Resistance Levels: 1.6050, 1.6068, 1.6086
Support Levels: 1.6005, 1.5987, 1.5970

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USDJPY :
HIGH 97.338 LOW 97.021 BID 97.144 ASK 97.148 CHANGE -0.34% TIME 08 : 45:04



OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Price is consolidating on the hourly timeframe however we see potential to overcome our next resistance level at 97.50 (R1) later on today. Our initial targets locates at 97.73 (R2) and 97.96 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, prolonged movement below the supportive measure at 96.92 (S1) is required to activate new phase of downtrend expansion. We would suggest next aim at 96.68 (S2) and then final target could be met at 96.45 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 97.50, 97.73, 97.96
Support Levels: 96.92, 96.68, 96.45

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )