Catch Trend
Envois: 939
Membre depuis: 21/04/2011
There are countless ways to identify trend and each method has a probability of failure. Not a single method 100% accurate. Infact only a small percentage of traders have high accuracy and most are struggling to get past 50%.
So why struggle to acheive high accuracy in catching trend when u trend will automatically catch ur price.
This method has been tried many times before but I thought to make it a little different by customizing it. I think it is more effective now.
This method can be applied on any timeframe and pair. But you should adjust pips according to timeframe and pair movement.
For Eur/usd and average trade duration of around 1 to 2 days.
Place 3 Buy orders 20, 40 and 60 pip above current price and 3 sell orders 20, 40 and 60 pip below current price.
If buy order is triggered, adjust ur sell orders according to current price. If second buy order is triggered adjust ur sell orders again according to current price.
Opposite if sell order is triggered.
Place ur TP 50 pips away from buy or sell order. Trailing SL with 20 pips difference.
Stick to your rules
Envois: 711
Membre depuis: 17/05/2011
Envois: 685
Membre depuis: 06/06/2011
Envois: 734
Membre depuis: 22/04/2011
Read similar strategies but this one is really different.
There should be some point where we stop putting orders.
The good or ill of a man lies within his own will. – Epictetus
Envois: 836
Membre depuis: 16/05/2011
Thx for sharing.
TP is 50 pips which means at least 3 orders will be triggered if price goes in same direction. One the original order then after 20 pips and 3rd after 40 pips. Now if trend reverses before reaching 50 pips then following can occur.
Assume Trend reverses after reaching 45 pips and we were using trailing SL of 20 pips
1st position = +25 pips
2nd position = +5 pips
3rd position = -15 pips
Result of above 3 orders is +15 pip gain. But if price reverses from 25 pips then result would be -10 pips and if trend after 5 pips then result would be -15 pips
At the same time following opposite orders will also be triggered when trend reverses.
1st order will be triggered when price reaches back at 20 pip position and second will be triggered when price reaches at 0 pip position.
These two orders will remain open unless price reaches trailing SL or 50pip TP.
Above is a complex process and doing it all manually is a tough job. Also there is a risk of loss unless price goes in the same direction for specific number of pips before reversing which doesnt happen very often.
The best way to test this strategy would be to make an EA.
Envois: 711
Membre depuis: 17/05/2011
Envois: 836
Membre depuis: 16/05/2011
Originally posted by ChampNice analysis. But I think this is not the full picture. Because there can be unlimited scenarios.
I agree that we need an EA to test this strategy.
"Full picture" is infinity number of orders. Actually I tried to give best and worst case scenario but I dun think these are best and worst case scenarios rather just better and a bit bad case scenarios.
Envois: 561
Membre depuis: 21/04/2011
Envois: 685
Membre depuis: 06/06/2011
Sasha did great job with numbers. Based on Sasha's analysis, I think this strategy can be good if we keep adding new orders. The only question is how to do it continuously. For this purpose I tried to make an EA by going to EA-maker websites but you can only make an EA there if your strategy is based purely on technical indicators.
So a coder is needed to code this system
Envois: 734
Membre depuis: 22/04/2011
Originally posted by illiterateInteresting strategy but difficult to understand. Sasha raised valid point. It has more probability of loss than earn. But in the end it depends on market conditions too. I wonder if there is a way backtest it?
Yes it looks to be a simple system and its EA can be made with some "loop" programming. For a non-programmer, EA maker websites can be a good source. But I think creating it on an EA maker will take a lot of time if u r not familiar with that EA maker.
The good or ill of a man lies within his own will. – Epictetus
Envois: 6
Membre depuis: 10/10/2012
well, I'm a coder - http://surananitin.elance.com!