Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen
EUR/USD and EUR/JPY Attempt Recovery Wave
[i]EUR/USD started a fresh decline and traded below 1.0150. EUR/JPY is attempting a recovery wave and might rise if it clears 139.50.[/i
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY
[*] There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 1.0145 on the hourly chart.
[*] EUR/JPY also started a major decline below the 140.00 and 139.50 support levels.
[*] There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 139.20 on the hourly chart.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The Euro failed to clear the 1.0280 resistance against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair started a major decline below the 1.0220 and 1.0200 support levels.
There was a clear move below the 1.0150 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair even settled below the 1.0180 level. A low was formed near 1.0107 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating losses.
EUR/USD Hourly Chart
The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0250 swing high to 1.0107 low. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 1.0145 level.
There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 1.0145 on the hourly chart. A clear move above the triangle resistance might send the price towards 1.0165. The next major resistance is near the 1.0180 level.
It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0250 swing high to 1.0107 low. If the bulls remain in action, the pair could revisit the 1.0250 resistance zone in the near term.
On the downside, the pair might find support near the 1.0120 level. The next major support sits near the 1.0100 level. If there is a downside break below the 1.0100 support, the pair might accelerate lower in the coming sessions.
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ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 28th JULY, 2022
ETHUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $1357
Ethereum was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1661 on 25th July started to decline against the US dollar coming down below the $1400 handle on 26th July.
We saw that after this decline, the prices started to stabilize above the $1350 handle, and then a pullback action was seen in the markets.
The prices started a bullish reversal which continues pushing the prices of Ethereum above the $1600 handle in the European trading session today.
We can clearly see a bullish engulfing pattern above the $1357 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.
ETH is now trading just below its pivot level of 1622 and moving into a mildly bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1629 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1634 after which the path towards 1700 will get cleared.
The relative strength index is at 62 indicating a strong market and the continuation of the uptrend in the markets.
We can see the progression of a bullish ascending trendline formation from $1357 to $1690, which indicates that we are heading towards $1700.
Both the commodity channel index and highs/lows are indicating a neutral market.
Some of the technical indicators are giving a buy market signal.
Most of the moving averages are giving a buy signal, and we are now looking at the levels of $1700 to $1850 in the short-term range.
ETH is now trading above both its 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages.
[*] Short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
[*] ETH continues to remain above $1600
[*] The average true range is indicating less market volatility
ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 28th JULY, 2022
ETHUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $1357
Ethereum was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1661 on 25th July started to decline against the US dollar coming down below the $1400 handle on 26th July.
We saw that after this decline, the prices started to stabilize above the $1350 handle, and then a pullback action was seen in the markets.
The prices started a bullish reversal which continues pushing the prices of Ethereum above the $1600 handle in the European trading session today.
We can clearly see a bullish engulfing pattern above the $1357 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.
ETH is now trading just below its pivot level of 1622 and moving into a mildly bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1629 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1634 after which the path towards 1700 will get cleared.
The relative strength index is at 62 indicating a strong market and the continuation of the uptrend in the markets.
We can see the progression of a bullish ascending trendline formation from $1357 to $1690, which indicates that we are heading towards $1700.
Both the commodity channel index and highs/lows are indicating a neutral market.
Some of the technical indicators are giving a buy market signal.
Most of the moving averages are giving a buy signal, and we are now looking at the levels of $1700 to $1850 in the short-term range.
ETH is now trading above both its 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages.
[*] Ether: a bullish reversal seen above the $1357 mark
[*] Short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
[*] ETH continues to remain above $1600
[*] The average true range is indicating less market volatility
Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1357
ETHUSD is now moving into a mildly bullish channel with the prices trading above the $1600 handle in the European trading session today.
We have also detected the formation of MA5 and MA10 crossover patterns located at 1630 and 1632 in the hourly time frame indicating that the price is likely to descend below after touching these levels in the short-term range.
We can see that the prices of Ethereum are slowly preparing for moving into a consolidation channel above the $1600 handle.
We can also see the formation of a bullish harami pattern in the 2-hour time frame indicating the bullish nature of the markets.
We can also witness the parabolic SAR bullish reversal in the daily timeframe, so the immediate targets visible now are $1650.
The key support levels to watch are $1500 and $1584, and the prices of ETHUSD need to remain above these levels for the continuation of the bullish trend.
ETH has increased by 10.64% with a price change of 155$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 25.107 billion USD.
We can see an increase of 43.29% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which is due to the buying seen at lower levels.
The Week Ahead
We can see that ETH is now making attempts to clear the resistance zone located at $1650, and with the continued bullish tendency, we are now heading towards the $1700 level.
The price of Ethereum is preparing to enter into a consolidation phase above the $1600 levels and we can see some range-bounded movements between the $1500 and $1700 levels this week.
The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.
The prices of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support levels of $1500 this week.
The weekly outlook is projected at $1750 with a consolidation zone of $1600.
Technical Indicators:
The relative strength index (14): at 62.09 indicating a BUY
The moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 41.18 indicating a BUY
The rate of price change: at 1.92 indicating a BUY
Bull/Bear power(13): at 23.28 indicating a BUY
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AUD/USD and NZD/USD Eye Additional Gains
AUD/USD is gaining pace above the 0.6950 resistance. NZD/USD is also eyeing a key upside break above the 0.6300 resistance.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD
[*] There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.6955 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
[*] NZD/USD also started a major increase from the 0.6200 support zone.
[*] There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6240 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
The Aussie Dollar formed a base above the 0.6820 and 0.6850 levels against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair started a steady increase after it cleared the 0.6900 resistance zone.
There was a clear move above the 0.6950 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair even broke the 0.7000 barrier and traded as high as 0.7014 on FXOpen. Recently, there was a minor downside correction below the 0.7000 level.
AUD/USD Hourly Chart
The pair dipped below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6912 swing low to 0.7014 high. However, the pair stayed above the 0.6960 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6912 swing low to 0.7014 high also acted as a support. The pair is now rising and trading near 0.7000.
On the upside, the AUD/USD pair is facing resistance near the 0.7000 level. The next major resistance is near the 0.7020 level. A close above the 0.7020 level could start a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.7080.
On the downside, an initial support is near the 0.6970 level. The next support could be the 0.6950 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.6955 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. If there is a downside break below the 0.6950 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.6880 level.
GBP/USD Eyes More Gains, EUR/GBP Could Correct Higher
GBP/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.2000 zone. EUR/GBP might attempt a recovery wave if it clears the 0.8430 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP
[*] The British Pound started a fresh increase from the 1.1850 zone against the US Dollar.
[*] There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2120 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
[*] EUR/GBP declined below the 0.8450 and 0.8400 support levels .
[*] There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8385 on the hourly chart.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
The British Pound formed base above the 1.1850 and 1.1880 levels against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair started a fresh increase after it clearly broke the 1.2000 resistance.
There was a steady move above the 1.2050 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The bulls even pumped the pair above the 1.2120 level. A high was formed near 1.2245 on FXOpen the pair is now consolidating gains.
GBP/USD Hourly Chart
There was a minor decline below 1.2120, but the bulls were active near 1.2065. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2120 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
The pair is now rising and broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2245 swing high to 1.2064 low. There was a steady increase above the 1.2150 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.
On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.2195 level. The next main resistance is near the 1.2200 zone. It is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2245 swing high to 1.2064 low.
A clear upside break above the 1.2200 and 1.2210 resistance levels could open the doors for a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance sits near the 1.2250 level.
If not, the pair might start a fresh decline below 1.2150. The next major support is near the 1.2120 level. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.2065 support zone or even 1.2000.
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BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 02nd AUG 2022
BTCUSD: Evening Star Pattern Below $24607
Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 24597 on 30th July started to decline against the US dollar dropping below the $2300 handle in the European trading session today.
We can see that after this decline the prices have entered into a consolidation zone above the $22500 handle.
The prices have started to move in a descending trend channel due to the decrease in the demand and the continued selling across the global crypto markets.
We can clearly see a bearish evening star pattern below the $24607 handle which is a bearish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of an uptrend and a shift towards a downtrend.
Bitcoin touched an intraday high of 23438 in the Asian trading session and an intraday low of 22670 in the European trading session today.
Both the STOCH and Williams percent range are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.
The relative strength index is at 37 indicating a weaker demand for bitcoin at the current market levels and the continuation of the selling pressure in the markets.
Bitcoin is now moving below its 100 hourly simple moving average and its 200 hourly simple moving averages.
Most of the major technical indicators are giving a strong sell signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 22000 and 21500.
The average true range is indicating lesser market volatility with a bearish momentum.
[*] Bitcoin: bearish reversal seen below $24607
[*] STOCHRSI is indicating an oversold level
[*] The price is now trading just above its pivot level of $22747
[*] All of the moving averages are giving a strong sell market signal
Bitcoin: Bearish Reversal Seen Below $24607
The price of bitcoin continues to decline below the $23000 handle, and we are now testing the important support level of $22000 in the European trading session.
The global sentiments continue to remain weak and we can see more downwards correction this week towards the $21500 level.
Bitcoin was unable to clear its resistance zone located at $25000, and now we can see a progression of the bearish bias in the markets.
We can see the formation of a bearish harami pattern in the weekly time frame indicating the underlying bearish nature of the markets.
The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is bearish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.
Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $21000, and the prices continue to remain above these levels for any potential bullish reversal in the markets.
The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic support level of 22500 and Fibonacci resistance levels of 22687 after which the path towards 2000 will get cleared.
In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has declined by 1.70% by 394$, and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 27.922 billion. We can see an increase of 20.09% in the trading volume as compared to yesterday, which is due to the selling seen by the short-term investors.
The Week Ahead
The price of bitcoin is moving in a mildly bearish momentum, and the immediate targets are $22000 and $21500
The daily RSI is printing at 52 which indicates a neutral market and the move towards the consolidation channel.
The trendline formation is seen from the $24600 level towards $22600 indicating that if this bearish trend line gets exhausted, we may see an upwards correction in the prices.
Bitcoin’s price may continue to remain in a range-bound movement between the $22000 and $23000 levels this week.
The prices of BTCUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $21000 this week.
The weekly outlook is projected at $22000 with a consolidation zone of $21000.
Technical Indicators:
The average directional change (14 days): at 27.18 indicating a SELL
The rate of price change: at -1.38 indicating a SELL
The relative strength index (14): at 38.82 indicating a SELL
The commodity channel index (14 days): at -91.53 indicating a SELL
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EUR/USD and USD/JPY At Risk of Additional Losses
EUR/USD started another decline from the 1.0300 resistance. USD/JPY is declining and might continue to move down below 137.00.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY
[LIST]
[*] The Euro started a fresh decline and even traded below the 1.0200 support.
[*] There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 1.0205 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
[*] USD/JPY declined heavily from the 139.00 resistance zone.
[*] There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support near 136.30 on the hourly chart.
[/LIST]
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
This week, the Euro started a fresh decline from well above the 1.0280 level against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair declined below the 1.0250 and 1.0220 support levels.
The bears even pushed the pair below the 1.0200 level. There was a close below 1.0200 and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The bears pushed the pair below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0097 swing low to 1.0293 high.
EUR/USD Hourly Chart
Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 1.0205 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.0200 level.
The next major resistance is near the 1.0225 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. An upside break above 1.0225 could set the pace for a steady increase. In the stated case, the pair might revisit 1.0280.
If not, the pair might drop and test the 1.0165 support. The next major support is near 1.0145 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0097 swing low to 1.0293 high, below which the pair could drop to 1.0100 in the near term.
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Turkish Lira crisis hits corporate borrowers
The ongoing crisis that has been affecting the Turkish Lira for several months is showing no sign of giving way, and the country's astonishing inflation rate of over 70% is testimony to the dire situation that the nation's economy is facing.
Turkey is an industrial and commercial powerhouse in the Middle East, and is home to the most developed and diversified industry base in the region, however whilst the productivity and quality of product are both high, and the work ethic is still being clearly demonstrated in a nation which has been open for business during times when others were less so, the Lira and its inflationary backdrop are a massive bugbear.
The US Dollar, along with all other major currencies, has continued to rise significantly against the Turkish Lira, and today's value for the USDTRY is 17.94.
Turkish companies which conduct business on an international basis have been faced with the volatility of Forex transactions when settling accounts with their partners and clients, and the continued decline in value of the Turkish Lira has landed them with a conundrum.
Yesterday the Turkish media reported that companies are borrowing in Lira partly to pay off their debts in foreign currency, and many companies in Turkey have used an average of around 30 Lira out of every 100 Lira borrowed from banks to settle their debts in US Dollars and Euros.
The sustained losses that the Turkish Lira has made against all major currencies over the past year has caused a dramatic increase in servicing the repayments of foreign debt for Turkish businesses, and this is how it is being addressed.
At the end of June, the Turkish government announced a ban on loans in Lira to companies holding what it deemed to be too much foreign currency.
This caused the Lira to whipsaw, a term referring to price movements in a volatile market when a stock or currency price will suddenly switch direction.
By June 27 the Lira made an unusual gain of approximately 8% gain in two days, trading at 16.01 to the US Dollar, up from the day before the announcement where it closed at 17.35.
But by late afternoon on the following Monday, it had pared some of those gains, decreasing slightly to 16.5 against the dollar, after whipsawing within the 16 to 17 lira per dollar range.
Clearly volatility is still rampant, however the switch toward using Lira to repay debt in overseas currencies could be a potential method of circulating the Lira more vigorously which may go some way toward helping it slow its downward spiral.
Currently, however, it is an uncertain market with an almost year-long record of a downward spiral.
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ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 04th AUG, 2022
ETHUSD – Three Inside Down Pattern Below $1783
Ethereum was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1762 on 30th July started to decline against the US Dollar coming down below the $1600 handle on 02nd Aug.
The selloff that we saw was due to the strength of the US Dollar and its subsequent effect on the prices of the ETHUSD.
We can clearly see a Three Inside Down Pattern Below the $1783 handle which is a Bearish pattern and signifies the end of a Bullish phase and the start of a Bearish phase in the markets.
ETH is now trading just above its Pivot levels of 1619 and is moving into a Mild Bearish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its Classic support levels of 1591 and Fibonacci support levels of 1612 after which the path towards 1600 will get cleared.
Relative Strength Index is at 40 indicating a WEAK market and the continuation of the Downtrend in the markets.
We can see that Aroon Indicator is giving the Bearish signal in the 2 hourly timeframe.
Both the STOCHRSI and Williams Percent Range are indicating an Oversold market, which means that the prices are due for an Upwards correction.
All of the Technical indicators are giving a STRONG SELL market Signal.
All of the Moving Averages are giving a STRONG SELL Signal and we are now looking at the levels of $1600 to $1550 in the short-term range.
ETH is now trading Below its both the 100 Hourly Simple and Exponential Moving Averages.
• Ether Bearish Reversal seen Below the $1783 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild BEARISH.
• ETH continues to remain above the $1600 levels.
• Average True Range is indicating LESS Market Volatility.
Ether Bearish Reversal Seen Below $1783
ETHUSD is now moving into a Mild Bearish Channel with the prices trading above the $1600 handle in the European Trading session today.
We have also detected the formation of the Adaptive Moving Average 20 and 50 Crossover pattern in the 2 hourly time-frame indicating that the price is likely to descend in the short-term range.
We can see the formation of a Major contraction triangle below the $1700 levels in the 1-hour timeframe.
The key support levels to watch are $1595 and $1506 and the prices of ETHUSD need to remain above these levels for any potential Bullish reversal in the markets.
ETH has decreased by 1.93% with a price change of 31$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 15.964 Billion USD.
We can see a Decrease of 14.86% in the total trading volume in last 24 hrs. which appears to be Normal.
The Week Ahead
We can see that ETH failed to clear its Major resistance zone located at $1800 levels and is now preparing to enter into a consolidation phase above the $1600 levels.
The prices of Ethereum are slowly recovering against the US Dollar and we can see some range bound moves in the short-term range.
The immediate short-term outlook for the Ether has turned as Mild BEARISH, the medium-term outlook remains NEUTRAL, and the long-term outlook for Ether is NEUTRAL in present market conditions.
The prices of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support levels of $1500 this week.
Weekly outlook is projected at $1650 with a consolidation zone of $1500.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (14): It is at 40.99 indicating a SELL.
Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (12,26): It is at -1.66 indicating a SELL.
Rate of Price Change: It is at -2.17 indicating a SELL.
Ultimate Oscillator: It is at 31.86 indicating a SELL.
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Gold Price Rallies While Crude Oil Price Takes Hit
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $1,750 resistance zone. Crude oil price is sliding and remains at a risk of more losses below $90.
[B]Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil[/B]
[*] Gold price gained pace after it cleared the $1,750 resistance against the US Dollar.
[*] Recently, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $1,762 on the hourly chart of gold.
[*] Crude oil price started a fresh decline from the $96.00 and $96.50 resistance levels.
[*] There is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near $91.20 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
Gold price formed a base above the $1,700 level and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The price broke the $1,720 resistance to move into a positive zone.
There was a clear move above the $1,750 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $1,762 on the hourly chart of gold.
The price traded as high as $1,794 on FXOpen and the price is now consolidating gains. An immediate support on the downside is near the $1,788 level.
The price even traded below the $1,700 level and formed a low near $1,680 on FXOpen. It is now correcting losses above the $1,695 level. On the downside, an initial support is near the $1,785 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,754 swing low to $1,794 high.
The next major support is near the $1,774 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,754 swing low to $1,794 high, below which there is a risk of a larger decline. In the stated case, the price could decline sharply towards the $1,750 support zone.
On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $1,795 level. A clear upside break above the $1,795 resistance could send the price towards $1,812. The main resistance is now forming near the $1,820 level. A close above the $1,820 level could open the doors for a steady increase towards $1,840.
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GBP/USD Faces Resistance While USD/CAD Is Surging
GBP/USD could gain pace if it clears the 1.2100 resistance zone. USD/CAD is surging and could continue to rise above the 1.3000 resistance zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD
[*] The British Pound is attempting an upside break above the 1.2100 resistance zone.
[*] There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2100 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
[*] USD/CAD started a fresh increase above the 1.2920 resistance zone.
[*] There was a break above a declining channel with resistance near the 1.2865 on the hourly chart.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
After facing sellers near 1.2280, the British Pound started a fresh decline against the US Dollar. GBP/USD declined heavily below the 1.2200 support zone.
There was a move below the 1.2100 support zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair traded as low as 1.2004 and is currently correcting higher. There was a clear move above the 1.2030 resistance zone.
The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2168 swing high to 1.2004 low. An immediate resistance is near the 1.2080 level.
There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2100 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. The next key resistance is near the 1.2105 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2168 swing high to 1.2004 low.
If there is an upside break above the 1.2100 zone, the pair could rise towards 1.2150. The next key resistance could be 1.2200, above which the pair could gain strength.
On the downside, an initial support is near the 1.2040 area. The first major support is near the 1.2000 level. If there is a break below 1.2000, the pair could extend its decline. The next key support is near the 1.1960 level. Any more losses might call for a test of the 1.1850 support.
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