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GBP/USD prospect

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Nov 28, 2013 01:11 pm
#1

Posts: 35
Member since: 05/11/2013

hi guys i've bought a silly sized position in an unthought out attempt to cover my lossess from thoughtlessly copying some unknown trader earlier, i just want your opinions on whether you think GBP/USD will keep rising or whether you think its on its last legs as an up trend...

i've copied in my current poisition as an attachment (yellow lines are where i opened the positions and red is where my S/L is)

really appreciate your thoughts as my account literally hangs in the balance of this.

thanks!
https://www.fxstat.com/widget/link?t=tiny&c=2&s=25074&o1=growth&o2=monthly&o3=equity&o4=profitfactor 

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Nov 28, 2013 01:13 pm

Posts: 35
Member since: 05/11/2013

ps date n time is 28/11/13 13.12pm and s/l rate is 1.63240

Dec 17, 2013 01:13 pm
Champ User

Posts: 711
Member since: 17/05/2011

I have opened a trade on onetrade in favor of bulls. I think gbp/usd will cross 1.6300 before any major retracement.

http://www.fxstat.com/widget/link?t=tiny&c=1&s=24959&o1=growth&o2=drawdown&o3=profitfactor

Dec 17, 2013 03:42 pm
Noobtrader User

Posts: 52
Member since: 07/11/2013

In the short term i disagree, i think it will continue in a dovish behaviour at least until 1.62 approximately, but i think once at that point it will become bullish for the long run as Champ indicated since it has hit a historically important level (see attachment).

In the short term i think if there is a drawback it may still hit 1.63 but if there isnt one within the next few hours that likelihood will dimish until the market hits the mentioned level. 

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Jan 01, 2014 12:04 pm

Posts: 939
Member since: 21/04/2011

Gbp/Usd has already touched 1.6580, making a new 29-month high. I think it will go further upwards to touch major support zone of 1.6740 to 1.6750

Stick to your rules

Jan 02, 2014 04:29 pm
4nt5 Translator

Posts: 84
Member since: 12/10/2013

Originally posted by uniquetrader

I think it will go further upwards to touch major support zone of 1.6740 to 1.6750





I think the general agreement here is that GBP/USD will continue to be hawkish for some time, if Unique is right about the major support zone it means the trend will continue to at least late February because the linear average is estimated (as shown in image) to only reach 1.66 between the 7th and 20th of January (it could touch 1.67, but looking at the average it seems set for a while yet).

http://www.fxstat.com/widget/link?t=tiny&c=1&s=20780&o1=growth&o2=drawdown&o3=profitfactor 

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Jan 03, 2014 11:17 am
Noobtrader User

Posts: 52
Member since: 07/11/2013

Happy New Year guys! Saw this on fxstreet and thought it'd be relevant to the thread. 

:D the experts seem to agree with our thoughts so far (hehe its nice to have our thoughts supported by a news org) 

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Jan 07, 2014 06:11 am
ironical User

Posts: 734
Member since: 22/04/2011

Directionless in shortterm but looks like it will breakout in favor of downward trend. U.S fundamentals will also play important part in this breakout. If U.S fundamentals came weaker, pair will most probably continue to move in range.

The good or ill of a man lies within his own will. – Epictetus

Jan 07, 2014 05:13 pm
Noobtrader User

Posts: 52
Member since: 07/11/2013

Originally posted by 4nt5

I think the general agreement here is that GBP/USD will continue to be hawkish for some time, if Unique is right about the major support zone it means the trend will continue to at least late February because the linear average is estimated (as shown in image) to only reach 1.66 between the 7th and 20th of January (it could touch 1.67, but looking at the average it seems set for a while yet).





I must disagree (as my last post demonstrated it is overbought) though still slightly bullish I agree with ironical that a bearish trend is approaching, this is supported by my own analysis as well (attachment) which indicates a bell shaped curve being formed. 

I wouldn't say it is directionless yet since it is still corresponding to the ascending triangle, but it will peak soon. I'd presume by late January we'll begin to see a breakout (Time to sell!!!)

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Jan 09, 2014 11:42 am
Sasha User

Posts: 836
Member since: 16/05/2011

Yes. Gbp/Usd will most probably go down in coming months as not only technicals but also predicted fundamentals support strengthened Usd against Gbp. 

Jan 13, 2014 10:12 am
4nt5 Translator

Posts: 84
Member since: 12/10/2013

My bad guys, it seems you were right about the instrument turning bearish. Its already the second time the currency has tried to breakout of the trend (as shown). 

It seems the currency wont be reaching 1.66 as my earlier posts forecasted, I like the idea of the bell curve but what other methods do you guys use to forecast a currency prospect? Since its now obvious i need to use a different method :)

 

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