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When do u trust a strategy?

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Nov 08, 2011 02:17 pm
#1
illiterate User

Posts: 561
Member since: 21/04/2011

There are a lot of strategies and systems in forex. You can find all sort of strategies, systems and indicators by searching. Some look very simple yet effective and some look very complex.

How do you test a strategy? on demo or live.
When do u consider it successfull? Based on more $$$ or more pips? or maybe you prefer more winning trades.
When do u consider it using on ur main account?
How do u compare two or more strategies?

https://www.fxstat.com/widget/link?t=medium&c=1&s=25892&o1=growth&o2=drawdown&o3=monthly&o4=equity

Nov 09, 2011 03:05 pm

Posts: 939
Member since: 21/04/2011

The main things to look are:

1- Profitability
2- Testing period
3- Drawdown
4- Basic strategy (e.g. if martingale then u may not trust it even if it is highly profitable)
5- Average Pips per trade (more means better but this option is not valid for scalping strategies)

If all of the above are satisfactory then I will use it on my live account.
While comparing, I will check all of the above 5 points.

Stick to your rules

Nov 10, 2011 04:33 pm
Sasha User

Posts: 836
Member since: 16/05/2011

Originally posted by uniquetrader

The main things to look are:

1- Profitability
2- Testing period
3- Drawdown
4- Basic strategy (e.g. if martingale then u may not trust it even if it is highly profitable)
5- Average Pips per trade (more means better but this option is not valid for scalping strategies)

If all of the above are satisfactory then I will use it on my live account.
While comparing, I will check all of the above 5 points.

 



You almost explained everything. More or less these are the main points. The difference in us can be between choosing values of these points. For example I may choose the one with at least 1 year positive performance and u may want to test it for at least 2 years.

Nov 11, 2011 08:09 pm
ironical User

Posts: 734
Member since: 22/04/2011

Originally posted by illiterate

There are a lot of strategies and systems in forex. You can find all sort of strategies, systems and indicators by searching. Some look very simple yet effective and some look very complex.

How do you test a strategy? on demo or live.
When do u consider it successfull? Based on more $$$ or more pips? or maybe you prefer more winning trades.
When do u consider it using on ur main account?
How do u compare two or more strategies?



The problem starts when we use the strategy. So if the strategy is tested by someone else, I will not be satisfied unless that person is managing my account. If I want to use a strategy for my self then I will test it myself.

The good or ill of a man lies within his own will. – Epictetus

Nov 12, 2011 03:43 pm
illiterate User

Posts: 561
Member since: 21/04/2011

Originally posted by ironical

 

Originally posted by illiterate

 

There are a lot of strategies and systems in forex. You can find all sort of strategies, systems and indicators by searching. Some look very simple yet effective and some look very complex.

How do you test a strategy? on demo or live.
When do u consider it successfull? Based on more $$$ or more pips? or maybe you prefer more winning trades.
When do u consider it using on ur main account?
How do u compare two or more strategies?

 



 

The problem starts when we use the strategy. So if the strategy is tested by someone else, I will not be satisfied unless that person is managing my account. If I want to use a strategy for my self then I will test it myself.



Valid point. So what qualities in a forex system will satisfy you?

https://www.fxstat.com/widget/link?t=medium&c=1&s=25892&o1=growth&o2=drawdown&o3=monthly&o4=equity

Nov 14, 2011 10:00 am
davidalfonsi Mirrorbeta

Posts: 162
Member since: 22/06/2010

I think time-resilience with low drawdown is a good indicator. On the top of that, some good ROI would be appreciated! :)

Apr 13, 2012 12:14 pm
mrinalini User

Posts: 177
Member since: 12/04/2012

I trust a strategy after I have back tested it in demo account first and made consistent profits with it and more than that I can rely on it only after I make some consistent and regular profits with the same .

Apr 18, 2012 05:11 am

Posts: 74
Member since: 07/04/2012

when my strategy rules works at least %90 it means l can trust.to know that l have to test it for months and see the results.finding a good strategy is not enough the most important job is to follow it always.

Apr 21, 2012 10:35 am
FXlord User

Posts: 75
Member since: 07/04/2012

Before I start implementing any strategy on my live account, I backtest it on a demo account!

May 06, 2012 06:58 pm
Champ User

Posts: 711
Member since: 17/05/2011

Originally posted by FXlord

Before I start implementing any strategy on my live account, I backtest it on a demo account!



For how much time do u test it?

http://www.fxstat.com/widget/link?t=tiny&c=1&s=24959&o1=growth&o2=drawdown&o3=profitfactor

May 07, 2012 06:19 pm
Jogi User

Posts: 685
Member since: 06/06/2011

Before I start implementing any strategy on my live account, I backtest it on a demo account!


I think after testing on demo, an EA should be tested on a small real account. $50 or $100 account with micro lots enabled. Most of the times, EAs produce good results during demo-testing. But in live conditions, they fail to produce good results consistently.

http://www.fxstat.com/widget/link?t=wide&c=1&s=26883&o1=growth&o2=drawdown&o3=monthly&o4=equity

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